{"id":12537,"date":"2021-03-16T11:25:42","date_gmt":"2021-03-16T10:25:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/solunion.com\/?p=12537"},"modified":"2021-03-16T11:26:13","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T10:26:13","slug":"la-politica-economica-de-biden-en-2021-y-2022-generara-360-000-millones-de-dolares-para-los-exportadores-de-todo-el-mundo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/solunion.com\/en\/la-politica-economica-de-biden-en-2021-y-2022-generara-360-000-millones-de-dolares-para-los-exportadores-de-todo-el-mundo\/","title":{"rendered":"La pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Biden en 2021 y 2022 generar\u00e1 360.000 millones de d\u00f3lares para los exportadores de todo el mundo"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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El paquete de est\u00edmulo del Presidente Biden para 2021 y 2022 obtuvo la aprobaci\u00f3n final en el Congreso la semana pasada<\/strong>, y tiene como objetivo adicional crear un efecto de confianza positivo en la demanda interna.<\/p>

En consecuencia, los expertos de Euler Hermes, uno de nuestros accionistas, revisan al alza las previsiones de crecimiento del PIB de Estados Unidos, hasta el +5,3% anual en 2021 (desde el +3,6% previsto en diciembre de 2020) y el +3,8% en 2022<\/strong> (desde el +3,1%), tras una contracci\u00f3n del -3,5% en 2020.<\/p>

Ahora prev\u00e9n que la tasa de desempleo alcance el 4,3% a finales de 2022 (frente al 6,2% de febrero de 2021), lo que significa que el exceso de ahorro de los hogares acumulado durante la crisis deber\u00eda liberarse m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido de lo previsto.<\/p>

En este art\u00edculo, exponemos las principales claves del informe The irony of Biden\u2019s super stimulus: USD360bn for exporters around the world\u00a0<\/a><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

El est\u00edmulo de 1,9 billones de d\u00f3lares en Estados Unidos provocar\u00e1 un aumento adicional de las importaciones de bienes y servicios<\/h2>

La pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Biden tendr\u00e1 un impacto positivo en los exportadores del mundo, al conllevar un aumento de las importaciones de 360.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en 2021 y 2022.<\/p>

Tambi\u00e9n impulsar\u00e1 la confianza de las empresas, apoyando la inversi\u00f3n no residencial. Este aumento de la demanda interna no ser\u00e1 totalmente absorbido por los productores estadounidenses. Los expertos esperan que el d\u00e9ficit comercial de Estados Unidos aumente hasta el 4,5% del PIB de media en 2021-2022, frente al 2,9% de media en los \u00faltimos cinco a\u00f1os.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

El s\u00faper-est\u00edmulo del Presidente Biden \u00a0en 2021 y 2022 apoyar\u00e1 a los exportadores de todo el mundo<\/h2>

Por sectores, el aumento adicional de las exportaciones en 2021-2022 ser\u00e1 mayor en los sectores de equipamiento dom\u00e9stico (+32.000 millones de d\u00f3lares); ordenadores y telecomunicaciones (+30.000 millones de d\u00f3lares); fabricantes de autom\u00f3viles (+30.000 millones de d\u00f3lares); y maquinaria y equipos (+29.000 millones de d\u00f3lares).<\/p>

Por regiones, los mayores aumentos en 2021-2022 se producir\u00e1n en Europa Occidental (+97.000 millones de d\u00f3lares), Asia sin incluir a China (+75.000 millones de d\u00f3lares), China (+60.000 millones de d\u00f3lares) y Am\u00e9rica Latina (+59.000 millones de d\u00f3lares).<\/p>

En t\u00e9rminos absolutos, los exportadores de China, M\u00e9xico y Canad\u00e1 ser\u00e1n, con diferencia, los m\u00e1s beneficiados. El impulso de las exportaciones chinas a EE. UU. (+60.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en total durante 2021-2022) se destinar\u00e1 probablemente a los sectores de la inform\u00e1tica y las telecomunicaciones, equipos dom\u00e9sticos y textil.<\/p>

Los aumentos adicionales de las exportaciones en M\u00e9xico (+45.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en total) ser\u00e1n comparativamente m\u00e1s importantes en el sector del autom\u00f3vil.<\/p>

En Europa, los exportadores de Alemania son los mejor posicionados para beneficiarse del est\u00edmulo estadounidense<\/strong> (+22.000 millones de d\u00f3lares en 2021-2022), seguidos por el Reino Unido<\/strong> (+16.000 millones de d\u00f3lares), Irlanda<\/strong> (+13.000 millones de d\u00f3lares) y Francia<\/strong> (+10.000 millones de d\u00f3lares).<\/p>

En t\u00e9rminos relativos, el impulso al PIB en 2021 ser\u00e1 el mayor para M\u00e9xico, Vietnam, Irlanda, Canad\u00e1 y Malasia<\/strong>. Los aumentos adicionales de las exportaciones de bienes y servicios en 2021 y 2022 gracias al s\u00faper-est\u00edmulo estadounidense ascienden al 1,7% del PIB de 2021-2022 en M\u00e9xico, al 1,4% en Vietnam y al 1,3% en Irlanda.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ganancias adicionales en bienes y servicios en 2021 y 2022 gracias al est\u00edmulo de Biden, por pa\u00eds (%PIB en 2021-2022)<\/h4>

\"Gr\u00e1fico<\/p>

Fuente UNCTAD, National statistics, Euler Hermes, Allianz Research<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Informe original: The irony of Biden\u2019s super stimulus: USD360bn for exporters around the world\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/i>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tAccede a la web de Euler Hermes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El paquete de est\u00edmulo del Presidente Biden para 2021 y 2022 obtuvo la aprobaci\u00f3n final en el Congreso la semana pasada, y tiene como objetivo adicional crear un efecto de confianza positivo en la demanda interna. En consecuencia, los expertos de Euler Hermes, uno de nuestros accionistas, revisan al alza las previsiones de crecimiento del […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12538,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[301],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12537","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-escenario-macroeconomico"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLa pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Biden en 2021 y 2022 generar\u00e1 360.000 millones de d\u00f3lares para los exportadores de todo el mundo - Solunion, Credit and Surety insurance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"La pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Biden en 2021 y 2022 impulsar\u00e1 las exportaciones mundiales en 360.000 millones de euros\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/solunion.com\/en\/la-politica-economica-de-biden-en-2021-y-2022-generara-360-000-millones-de-dolares-para-los-exportadores-de-todo-el-mundo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Biden en 2021 y 2022 generar\u00e1 360.000 millones de d\u00f3lares para los exportadores de todo el mundo - 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